REPORT / SESSION EXTENSION
How far past the initial balance does it run?
Middle half of sessions ran 75.4 to 241.61 pts. Half of them did less than the median.
Built on a continuous index proxy, validated against CME data.
By weekday
median pointsBy size
median pointsBy move against
how much heat it took firstBy extension
how far it ran past the levelHow often it reached the target
share of 1,075 sessions| Session | Outcome | Direction | Size, pts | Against, pts | Extension, pts | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | extended | up | 424.26 | 31.9 | 6.32 | - |
| 2026-07-02 | extended | down | 316.3 | 406.25 | 89.95 | - |
| 2026-07-01 | extended | up | 440.69 | 148.35 | 297.72 | - |
| 2026-06-30 | extended | up | 294.46 | 72.44 | 90.26 | - |
| 2026-06-29 | extended | up | 367.9 | 235.73 | 21.6 | - |
| 2026-06-26 | extended | up | 411.28 | 276.73 | 111.78 | - |
| 2026-06-25 | extended | up | 632.61 | 772.96 | 140.35 | - |
| 2026-06-24 | extended | up | 302.91 | 170.83 | 346.61 | - |
| 2026-06-23 | extended | up | 517.04 | 168.66 | 64.54 | - |
| 2026-06-22 | extended | down | 207.01 | 109.06 | 87.02 | - |
| 2026-06-18 | extended | down | 351.85 | 85.77 | 32.93 | - |
| 2026-06-17 | extended | down | 308.62 | 130.59 | 578.14 | - |
| 2026-06-16 | extended | up | 237.45 | 123 | 93.51 | - |
| 2026-06-15 | extended | up | 182.76 | 227.58 | 70.1 | - |
| 2026-06-10 | extended | down | 287 | 23.51 | 573.89 | - |
| 2026-06-09 | extended | down | 377 | 78.58 | 639.99 | - |
| 2026-06-05 | extended | down | 321.28 | 28.05 | 570.74 | - |
| 2026-06-04 | extended | up | 315.68 | 31.12 | 159.84 | - |
| 2026-06-03 | extended | down | 327.65 | 45.31 | 150.04 | - |
| 2026-06-02 | extended | up | 438.71 | 104.7 | 121.22 | - |
Built from a Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 / Dow 30 index tape, not from exchange futures ticks. Bar to bar return correlation against real MNQ is 0.988 over a 5,238 bar overlap, and 93 to 94 percent of swing pivots land on the same bar. The one minute pull is cross checked against a lossless local tick set over 2026-06-10 to 2026-08-25 and must correlate above 0.98 to ship. Levels are relative, so the rates hold; absolute prices carry a basis of roughly 160 points that drifts. The YM history starts 2021-09-01, eight months later than NQ and ES, and carries 124 unexplained weekday gaps in the underlying feed concentrated in 2021 to 2023 and tapering after 2024. Sample sizes on this page are smaller than NQ and ES for the same lookback because of this, not because of a filtering difference in the report.
Sample runs 2021-09-01 to 2026-09-04, 1,075 sessions. Skipped: 47 half days, 142 data holes, 44 sessions the report did not apply to.