REPORT / GAP FILL

Does the open close back to yesterday?

NQ / New York / 5 yr
60%filled the cash session gap, over 1,379 sessions
gap up59%n 743
gap down62%n 636
gap fill report / NQ regular hours / 1,379 sessions

Built on a continuous index proxy, validated against CME data.

By weekday

share of sessions

By size

share of sessions

By move against

how much heat it took first
The latest 60 sessions on file, not the full sample the headline counts
SessionOutcomeDirectionSize, ptsAgainst, ptsExtension, ptsMinutes
2026-09-04filledup63.26104.7754.6378
2026-09-03unfilledup59.28335.71--
2026-09-02filleddown25.880.1287.9744
2026-09-01unfilleddown386.07109.41--
2026-08-31filleddown51.2818.6150.211
2026-08-28filleddown65.6264.04121.0810
2026-08-27unfilledup232.56175.98--
2026-08-26filleddown96.640100.531
2026-08-25unfilledup198.26122.95--
2026-08-24unfilleddown155.02289.32--
2026-08-21filledup178.9068.9822
2026-08-20unfilleddown169.78142.37--
2026-08-19filledup114.5945.77205.110
2026-08-18unfilleddown398.62171.72--
2026-08-17filledup79.2965.4874.8224
2026-08-14filledup55.3326.71153.986
2026-08-13unfilledup58.26359.23--
2026-08-12unfilledup358.499.47--
2026-08-11filledup98.341.97202.833
2026-08-10filleddown22.9914.5872.540

Built from a Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 / Dow 30 index tape, not from exchange futures ticks. Bar to bar return correlation against real MNQ is 0.988 over a 5,238 bar overlap, and 93 to 94 percent of swing pivots land on the same bar. The one minute pull is cross checked against a lossless local tick set over 2026-06-10 to 2026-08-25 and must correlate above 0.98 to ship. Levels are relative, so the rates hold; absolute prices carry a basis of roughly 160 points that drifts.

Sample runs 2021-01-05 to 2026-09-04, 1,379 sessions. Skipped: 45 half days, 39 data holes, 16 sessions the report did not apply to.