REPORT / SESSION EXTENSION

How far past the initial balance does it run?

MNQ / New York / 5 yr

87.34 ptsmedian extension past the initial balance, over 1,353 sessions

Middle half of sessions ran 46.44 to 145.8 pts. Half of them did less than the median.

up breaks

85.78 ptsn 714

down breaks

89.83 ptsn 639

session extension report / MNQ regular hours / 1,353 sessions

MNQ and NQ trade the same index. The price path is identical and only the contract multiplier differs, so these are the NQ numbers, in MNQ terms.

Built on a continuous index proxy, validated against CME data.

Weekday

all mon tue wed thu fri

Size

all 12 to 100 pts 100 to 136 pts 136 to 189 pts 189 to 607 pts

Session

New YorkGlobex

Lookback

1 yr3 yr5 yr

By weekday

median points

79.6

monn 256

83.03

tuen 279

98.1

wedn 277

97.28

thun 275

89.42

frin 266

By size

median points

71.97

12 to 100 ptsn 339

75.01

100 to 136 ptsn 338

103.97

136 to 189 ptsn 338

115.54

189 to 607 ptsn 338

By move against

how much heat it took first

114.51

0 to 30 ptsn 339

92.08

30 to 64 ptsn 338

59.81

64 to 125 ptsn 338

86.92

126 to 1195 ptsn 338

By extension

how far it ran past the level

24.97

0 to 46 ptsn 339

65.42

47 to 87 ptsn 338

112.7

87 to 146 ptsn 338

209.61

146 to 1760 ptsn 338

How often it reached the target

share of 1,353 sessions

0.5x

63%n 1,353

1.0x

28%n 1,353

1.5x

14%n 1,353

2.0x

6%n 1,353

The latest 60 sessions on file, not the full sample the headline counts
Session	Outcome	Direction	Size, pts	Against, pts	Extension, pts	Minutes
2026-08-04	extended	up	349.18	45.69	390.86	-
2026-08-03	extended	up	367.08	17.16	279.68	-
2026-07-30	extended	up	426.01	240.27	60.28	-
2026-07-29	extended	down	454.23	560.31	219.69	-
2026-07-28	extended	up	381.68	76.03	92.04	-
2026-07-27	extended	down	539.75	179.29	136.62	-
2026-07-24	extended	down	321.39	328.89	88.52	-
2026-07-23	extended	down	229.41	121.4	217.76	-
2026-07-22	extended	up	196.81	123.81	58.48	-
2026-07-21	extended	up	181.35	68.72	112.42	-
2026-07-20	extended	down	283.17	209.92	136.81	-
2026-07-17	extended	up	477.73	213.61	163.45	-
2026-07-16	extended	down	269.08	42.85	182.13	-
2026-07-15	extended	down	338.13	102.16	242.97	-
2026-07-14	extended	up	243.05	151.25	83.03	-
2026-07-13	extended	up	242.26	341.67	99.4	-
2026-07-10	extended	down	169.39	270.93	123.12	-
2026-07-09	extended	up	314.82	33.68	59.69	-
2026-07-08	extended	down	204.73	310.25	162.1	-
2026-07-07	extended	down	424.45	321.88	48.74	-

Built from a Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 / Dow 30 index tape, not from exchange futures ticks. Bar to bar return correlation against real MNQ is 0.988 over a 5,238 bar overlap, and 93 to 94 percent of swing pivots land on the same bar. The one minute pull is cross checked against a lossless local tick set over 2026-06-10 to 2026-08-25 and must correlate above 0.98 to ship. Levels are relative, so the rates hold; absolute prices carry a basis of roughly 160 points that drifts.

Sample runs 2021-01-04 to 2026-09-04, 1,353 sessions. Skipped: 45 half days, 39 data holes, 43 sessions the report did not apply to.