REPORT / OVERNIGHT RANGE BREAK

Is the Globex range taken in New York?

MES / Globex / 5 yr
96%took at least one overnight extreme, over 1,312 sessions
high only40%n 527
low only32%n 418
both24%n 313
neither4%n 54
overnight range break report / MES globex hours / 1,312 sessions

MES and ES trade the same index. The price path is identical and only the contract multiplier differs, so these are the ES numbers, in MES terms.

Built on a continuous index proxy, validated against CME data.

By weekday

share of sessions

By size

share of sessions
The latest 60 sessions on file, not the full sample the headline counts
SessionOutcomeDirectionSize, ptsAgainst, ptsExtension, ptsMinutes
2026-07-08neithernone94.38---
2026-07-07low-onlydown37.778.0934.1828
2026-07-02bothnone56.4192.4220.3512
2026-07-01bothnone38.5869.334.384
2026-06-30high-onlyup34.238.1852.0521
2026-06-29high-onlyup70.261.6636.383
2026-06-26high-onlyup95.7662.545.84130
2026-06-25low-onlydown43.5221.8163.1412
2026-06-24bothnone46.6461.329.455
2026-06-23low-onlydown125.1469.775.240
2026-06-22high-onlyup64.351.3818.710
2026-06-17low-onlydown29.9422.86106.7829
2026-06-16bothnone22.0655.361.852
2026-06-15high-onlyup54.752.6647.220
2026-06-09bothnone69.24211.0932.30
2026-06-05low-onlydown46.99.09162.810
2026-06-04high-onlyup33.3615.2752.367
2026-06-03low-onlydown24.53.0939.4210
2026-06-02high-onlyup34.027.2121.5942
2026-06-01bothnone45.255.560.591

Built from a Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 / Dow 30 index tape, not from exchange futures ticks. Bar to bar return correlation against real MNQ is 0.988 over a 5,238 bar overlap, and 93 to 94 percent of swing pivots land on the same bar. The one minute pull is cross checked against a lossless local tick set over 2026-06-10 to 2026-08-25 and must correlate above 0.98 to ship. Levels are relative, so the rates hold; absolute prices carry a basis of roughly 160 points that drifts.

Sample runs 2021-01-04 to 2026-09-04, 1,312 sessions. Skipped: 47 half days, 58 data holes, 63 sessions the report did not apply to.