REPORT / OVERNIGHT RANGE BREAK

Is the Globex range taken in New York?

ES / Globex / 5 yr
96%took at least one overnight extreme, over 1,312 sessions
high only40%n 527
low only32%n 418
both24%n 313
neither4%n 54
overnight range break report / ES globex hours / 1,312 sessions

Built on a continuous index proxy, validated against CME data.

By weekday

share of sessions

By size

share of sessions
The latest 60 sessions on file, not the full sample the headline counts
SessionOutcomeDirectionSize, ptsAgainst, ptsExtension, ptsMinutes
2026-08-07high-onlyup53.4921.718.7558
2026-08-06low-onlydown23.0621.1822.922
2026-08-05bothnone38.5164.8310.360
2026-08-04high-onlyup35.648.75120.210
2026-08-03bothnone24.0294.670.630
2026-07-31bothnone49.4873.3740.5323
2026-07-30high-onlyup80.8614.8664.170
2026-07-27low-onlydown37.52.869.8226
2026-07-24bothnone34.9563.211.225
2026-07-23low-onlydown99.9936.7336.450
2026-07-22high-onlyup42.0317.9115.527
2026-07-21high-onlyup55.6324.13250
2026-07-20bothnone54.0165.117.763
2026-07-17low-onlydown91.4957.2910.260
2026-07-16low-onlydown51.3934.8432.3312
2026-07-15bothnone32.2543.77110
2026-07-14neithernone81.4---
2026-07-13low-onlydown49.512.4614.28185
2026-07-10bothnone26.3341.531.490
2026-07-09high-onlyup43.7329.2135.0612

Built from a Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 / Dow 30 index tape, not from exchange futures ticks. Bar to bar return correlation against real MNQ is 0.988 over a 5,238 bar overlap, and 93 to 94 percent of swing pivots land on the same bar. The one minute pull is cross checked against a lossless local tick set over 2026-06-10 to 2026-08-25 and must correlate above 0.98 to ship. Levels are relative, so the rates hold; absolute prices carry a basis of roughly 160 points that drifts.

Sample runs 2021-01-04 to 2026-09-04, 1,312 sessions. Skipped: 47 half days, 58 data holes, 63 sessions the report did not apply to.